Riyadh and Jeddah rent outlook for 2026 and 2027
Osool estimates combining REGA policy, government indicators and professional research, with visible sources, assumptions and limits.
Figures as of 25 June 2026. Page last reviewed 2 October 2026.
What to know before using the outlook
We separate official rules from Osool estimates and link each input to its source.
What is the rule on Riyadh rent increases?
Annual rent increases for residential and commercial leases within Riyadh’s urban boundary were suspended for five years from 25 September 2025.
Source: the Provisions Regulating the Landlord and Tenant Relationship, enacted by Royal Decree M/73 of 2/4/1447H. Review the official text for details and exceptions.
Are the 2026 and 2027 figures official data?
No. They are central estimates from the Osool model for guidance, not official statistics or investment advice.
The 2026 and 2027 figures on the city cards carry an “Osool estimate” label, each 2025 baseline shows its publisher, period and capture date, and the methodology explains assumptions and uncertainty.
Which inputs does the outlook use?
The 2025 baseline is the average annual contract rent JLL published in KSA Living Market Dynamics (2025). The model then applies known policy and city-level supply direction.
The source list links directly to REGA, GASTAT, JLL, CBRE and Knight Frank.
What changed after September 2025?
The September 2025 regulatory provisions changed Riyadh’s rental path. The 2026 and 2027 figures below are Osool central estimates, not official results.
Rents in 2026 and 2027: two estimates per city
Osool estimates of the average annual rent (SAR, rounded to the nearest 100 where they differ from the baseline), built on the 2025 baseline JLL published. The baseline and its source are shown separately under each estimate.
Riyadh
Source: JLL, KSA Living Market Dynamics (2025). Period 2025, contract rents, SAR per year. Captured 25 June 2026. Source link
Source: JLL, KSA Living Market Dynamics (2025). Period 2025, contract rents, SAR per year. Captured 25 June 2026. Source link
Jeddah
Source: JLL, KSA Living Market Dynamics (2025). Period 2025, contract rents, SAR per year. Captured 25 June 2026. Source link
Three forces shaping 2026 and 2027
Riyadh 5-year rent freeze
A landlord may not increase the total rent on residential or commercial leases inside Riyadh's urban boundary for five years. REGA states the period runs from 25 September 2025.
Non-Saudi ownership 2026
The non-Saudi property ownership system entered into force on 22 January 2026, subject to zones and controls defined through the official platform.
Expanding housing supply
Market research points to a larger development pipeline being phased over time, with effects varying by city and segment.
Connect market context to your portfolio data
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Saudi market context
Compare official indicators and professional research with your portfolio performance before deciding.
Reviewable methodology
Sources, assumptions and forecast limits are visible so you can review them before use.
Plan 2026 and 2027 with confidence
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How we forecast
A transparent model: we begin with the 2025 baseline, the average annual contract rent JLL published in KSA Living Market Dynamics (2025), review published government indicators and professional research, then apply known policy and supply direction. We assume Riyadh rents stay flat under the freeze on increases, and Jeddah apartment rents grow 3.0% in 2026 and 3.3% in 2027. The 2026 and 2027 figures are central estimates rounded to the nearest 100 SAR, with uncertainty increasing over time.
The 2026 and 2027 figures are Osool estimates for guidance only, not official data or investment advice. Figures as of 25 June 2026. Published 25 June 2026; sources and methodology last reviewed 2 October 2026.